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News 6 political expert explains why Florida will decide 2020 election


ORLANDO, Fla. – Because the presidential candidates proceed their campaigns throughout the nation, the Sunshine State is clearly their highest precedence.

Over the previous month, each President Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden have usually made stops in Florida hoping to swing undecided voters within the nation’s largest swing state.

With its 29 electoral school votes, successful Florida is paramount for the presidential hopefuls. After President Barack Obama gained Florida in 2008 and 2012, President Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 1.2 % in 2016. Information 6 political skilled Dr. Jim Clark advised anchor Justin Warmoth on “The Weekly on ClickOrlando.com” the president wants a repeat efficiency if he desires to be re-elected.

“The final Republican to win the White Home with out successful Florida was Calvin Coolidge in 1924,” Clark mentioned. “It’s been virtually a century since that’s occurred.”

To win Florida, historical past tells us you should win the I-4 hall — a stretch of seven counties from Daytona Seashore to St. Petersburg.

“There are 67 counties in Florida, and I can let you know proper now how 62 of them are going to vote,” Clark mentioned. “Since 1996, whoever gained 4 the seven counties alongside the I-4 hall received to go to the White Home. It’s so simple as that.”

Two counties specifically are receiving essentially the most consideration: Pinellas and Seminole. President Trump gained them each in 2016, however they each flipped blue throughout the 2018 midterm election, and Biden supporters consider he’ll be the primary Democratic presidential candidate to win Seminole since Harry Truman in 1948.

“That’s why when President Trump recovered from the virus his first cease was Seminole County,” Clark mentioned. “He, Joe Biden, everybody is aware of the significance of Seminole.”

In response to the newest voter registration numbers from the state, Democrats outnumber Republicans by greater than 183,000 registered voters, however it’s Florida’s 3.6 million NPA voters who Clark believes would be the distinction.

“The NPA vote went for Donald Trump 4 years in the past and broke barely with Obama eight and twelve years in the past” Clark mentioned. “They’re going to resolve the election.”

Whereas the presidential election has essentially the most consideration, there are a lot of down-ballot races which have enormous implications on the federal and state ranges.

“The one which’s caught the eye of everybody, even on the nationwide stage, is the Seminole County state Senate race to exchange David Simmons,” Clark mentioned. “This has turn out to be a really costly race and it’ll in all probability be the costliest state Senate races on report. If the Republicans lose management of the state Senate, they’re actually in bother.”

The 2 candidates squaring off within the race for Florida Senate District 9 are Patricia Sigman (D) and Jason Brodeur (R).

Watch the total interview Sunday at 7:30 a.m. on Information 6.

Copyright 2020 by WKMG ClickOrlando – All rights reserved.



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